Sunday, September 7, 2025

Fact Checking "Ep 6 The Case for Sowell"

Here is a fact check of the Jimbo Radio episode "Ep 6 The Case for Sowell," performed by ChatGPT 5. The episode was published 27 May 2022, the fact check was performed 7 Sep 2025. 

From GPT-5:  

Here’s a tight fact-check and critique of your write-up, split into: (1) whether you represented Sowell fairly, (2) corrections/clarifications, and (3) what’s accurate vs. what’s debated among economists and policy scholars.

1) Did you represent Thomas Sowell well?

Overall: yes. You captured the central, recurring Sowell themes: scarcity and trade-offs; “who decides?” as the key institutional question; dispersed knowledge; skepticism of price controls; and the drift of decision rights from individuals/markets toward more insulated parts of the state. Those points are core to Knowledge and Decisions (K&D) and to Sowell’s broader project, which is heavily influenced by F.A. Hayek’s “dispersed knowledge” argument. Wikipedia

  • Trade-offs. Sowell really does hammer “there are no solutions, only trade-offs.” It’s an oft-quoted Sowell line across books and interviews, and it fits K&D’s frame. (The exact phrasing is widely attributed to him; multiple sources quote it, though it’s a slogan more than a single pinpointable page citation.)

  • Definition of economics. You quoted Sowell’s standard Lionel Robbins–style definition almost verbatim: “the study of the allocation of scarce resources which have alternative uses.” Sowell uses exactly this definition in his essays and books. Amazon UK

  • K&D’s “who decides?” Your summary of the 1996 preface—focusing on who makes decisions, under what incentives/constraints, and what feedback corrects errors—is a fair rendering of K&D’s core question. A concise external summary of K&D highlights these same institutional/knowledge themes.

  • Price system as information; suspicion of controls. Your description of Sowell’s view of prices as signals and of price/rent/minimum-wage controls as damaging that communication absolutely reflects his books. (See also his later Basic Economics.) Amazon UK

  • Skepticism of centralized expertise / administrative growth. K&D and later books (Intellectuals and Society) do argue that power has shifted toward insulated institutions (bureaucracy, judiciary) and that “experts” routinely overestimate articulated rationality vs. on-the-ground feedback. That’s on brand for Sowell and consistent with reputable summaries.

2) Corrections & small fixes

  • Age and styling. Thomas Sowell (born June 30, 1930) is 95 in 2025 (not 91). He was born in North Carolina, raised in Harlem, left high school, served in the U.S. Marine Corps during the Korean War era, earned a BA at Harvard (1958), MA at Columbia (1959), and PhD at the University of Chicago (1968). Also: it’s University of Chicago (not “Chicago University”).

  • Attribution/quotes. Some of your long block quotes/paraphrases from K&D look accurate in spirit, but I can’t verify every sentence verbatim here. The short, emblematic lines you highlighted (economics definition; “who decides?” framing) align with how K&D is summarized by neutral sources.

  • “Agencies make more laws than Congress.” Directionally true if “laws” means binding rules: the federal government issues thousands of final rules annually, while Congress typically enacts hundreds of public laws. Just note the nuance: agencies issue regulations under statutory delegations, not “laws” in the constitutional sense. (For context: watchdog and regulatory-studies reports regularly document far more rules than statutes each year.) NBERStanford Graduate School of Business

3) What’s accurate vs. what’s debated?

Largely accurate, widely taught economics

  • Scarcity & trade-offs; prices convey information. These are bedrock principles in mainstream micro. Sowell’s emphasis is orthodox econ, not fringe. Amazon UK

  • Dispersed knowledge & the case for decentralized decisions. This is Hayekian and widely respected—especially for complex, fast-moving, local information problems. Even many non-libertarian economists accept the basic insight (while adding caveats about market failures). Wikipedia

Accurate claims, but with important caveats / active debates

  • Rent control harms vs. benefits. Traditional econ predicts supply distortions and misallocation; modern evidence is mixed on net, but very consistent about trade-offs.

    • The leading causal study of San Francisco’s 1990s expansion of rent control found large benefits to incumbent tenants (stability, lower rents), but reduced rental supply as landlords exited or converted units—raising citywide rents over time. That’s precisely Sowell’s “unintended consequences / trade-offs” story. NBER

    • Bottom line: Sowell is broadly aligned with the empirical consensus that rent control has significant costs; current literature stresses who wins vs. who loses and design details (e.g., exemptions for new construction).

  • Minimum wage. Sowell is consistently skeptical; many classical studies found job losses among teens/low-skill workers. Today the literature is split.

    • A flagship QJE study (Cengiz, Dube, Lindner & Zipperer, 2019) finds small to no job losses at the low-wage margin for “typical” increases in the U.S., with income gains for affected workers. NBER

    • Other work (e.g., Neumark & Wascher, and some newer case studies) finds negative employment effects in certain settings or subgroups. The CBO has also projected that large federal hikes would raise incomes for many but reduce employment for some, i.e., a trade-off. (Different methods yield different estimates.)
      Takeaway: Sowell’s categorical dismissal of minimum wages is not a current consensus; economists disagree, with effects depending on hike size, labor-market structure (e.g., monopsony), and local conditions. NBER

  • Price controls & subsidies (in general). Textbook analysis says binding ceilings/floors distort allocation; that part is mainstream. But economists also emphasize contexts:

    • Externalities / public goods: Some subsidies (e.g., basic science R&D) can correct under-provision.

    • Market power/monopsony: A minimum wage can, in theory and empirics, raise both wages and employment.
      Thus, while Sowell’s warnings about controls are valid in many markets, a blanket condemnation overstates the modern consensus.

  • Growth of the administrative/judicial state and “insulation” from feedback.

    • Descriptive claim: Yes, the U.S. administrative state produces far more binding rules than Congress passes statutes in a typical year, and agencies/judges often shape policy details—consistent with Sowell’s drift thesis. NBERStanford Graduate School of Business

    • Normative claim: Whether this shift is socially harmful is hotly debated. Some scholars argue complex, national problems require specialized administration; others share Sowell’s concern about weak feedback/monitors. This is not settled “economics,” it’s contested political economy and public-law theory.

  • “De-moralizing” policy analysis. Sowell urges analysts to resist moral grandstanding and focus on constraints and trade-offs. That’s a helpful discipline—but note two limits:

    1. Welfare economics inevitably embeds normative judgments (how to weigh equity vs. efficiency; distributional weights, etc.).

    2. Many policy choices are explicitly moral (e.g., rights, dignity, environmental risk tolerance). You can’t avoid values; you can only be transparent about them.

Points that are disputed or not well-established

  • Strong, categorical claims against minimum wages as necessarily harmful—disputed. Modern evidence is mixed and context-dependent. NBER

  • Sweeping claims that agency/judicial policymaking yields “no social gains.” That’s an overreach. There are famous failures, and Sowell is right about incentive problems—but there are also successes (e.g., lead removal, SO₂ trading, auto safety), where centralized rules delivered broad benefits. Whether the net is positive or negative is contested and domain-specific.

  • Implied inevitability that decentralized processes dominate centralized ones. In many markets, yes (Sowell/Hayek). But for externalities, public goods, coordination problems, asymmetric information, and non-market values, decentralized choice alone may not reach socially preferred outcomes—this is standard micro. The right mix is an open question, not a settled theorem.


Bottom line on your piece

  • Strengths: You conveyed Sowell’s intellectual DNA well: scarcity → trade-offs; prices as knowledge; “who decides?”; skepticism of insulated decision-makers; and respect for bottom-up feedback. Those are faithful and important. Amazon UK

  • Tune-ups: Fix biographical details (age; University of Chicago), and add nuance where modern evidence is mixed (minimum wage; some regulatory outcomes). Consider swapping “agencies make more laws than Congress” for “agencies issue far more binding rules than Congress passes statutes each year, under powers delegated by Congress.” NBERStanford Graduate School of Business

  • Fair-mindedness: You already acknowledge “trade-offs.” Doubling down on that—by noting where the empirical literature shows benefits and costs (rent control; minimum wage; some regulations)—will keep your piece strong, accurate, and Sowellian in spirit. NBER+1

Friday, September 5, 2025

Ep 47 AI to Habenula to Willpower Depletion with Brendan Howard

The following is a fact check by ChatGPT 5 of Jimbo Radio episode "Ep 47 AI to Habenula to Willpower Depletion with Brendan Howard.

Click here for a transcript of the episode. 

Habenula (“binula / habinula”)

  • Name & location. It’s the habenula (part of the epithalamus), adjacent to the pineal region. ✔️ Correct (watch the spelling). PMC

  • What it does. Strong evidence links the lateral habenula (LHb) to processing negative reward prediction, aversion, and value-based decision-making, via inhibition of dopamine and modulation of serotonin pathways. ✔️ Accurate. Frontiers+1

  • Depression linkage. Human imaging/clinical work shows altered or elevated LHb activity in major depressive disorder; it’s an active research area. ✔️ Supported. Nature

  • Sleep / circadian. There’s evidence the habenula interfaces with sleep/circadian systems, but it’s better to say it modulates (not “controls”) sleep-related processes. ⚠️ Nuance. Frontiers

  • “Ancient” & conserved. Yes—the habenular circuit is highly conserved across vertebrates. ✔️ Correct. PMCPNAS

“Confidence > accuracy” culture point

  • Anecdotal observation about rewarding confidence over accuracy (military inspections) is opinion, not a factual claim needing correction.

Socrates on writing

  • Claim. “Socrates thought writing would harm memory.” ✔️ True (Plato’s Phaedrus—myth of Theuth & Thamus). History of Information

“Moral panic” about new media (novels/books vs smartphones)

  • Claim. Earlier eras fretted that novel reading would rot minds, much like today’s phone worries. ✔️ There’s documented 18th–19th c. anxiety about novels/circulating libraries. harrell101.files.wordpress.com

Growth mindset

  • Claim. Praising effort (vs “you’re smart”) improves persistence—Carol Dweck. ✔️ This summary matches Mueller & Dweck (1998). Nature

“Iterative mindset” & the habenula (Kyra Bobinet)

  • What’s supported? Dr. Kyra Bobinet proposes an Iterative Mindset Method (test-and-learn framing) to reduce “failure” signals and sustain change; she explicitly discusses the habenula in talks and articles. ✔️ Her theoretical model is described in npj Digital Medicine (2023) and popular venues. (Note: this is theory & early validation work, not a large clinical RCT.) PMCNatureForbes

  • SMART goals “work for only a small percent.” ⚠️ This is her stance; the broader goal-setting literature (e.g., Locke & Latham) generally finds specific, challenging goals improve performance. Evidence that SMART “fails most people” is not established at population level. (So keep as author opinion, not consensus.) Nature

Ego/“willpower” depletion

  • What the classic study did. The famous Baumeister et al., 1998 experiment wasn’t “morning people resisted cookies, evening they didn’t.” It used a radish-vs-cookies manipulation, then measured persistence on puzzles. 🔧 Misdescribed. https:/doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.74.5.1252

  • Does depletion replicate? A large Registered Replication Report (2016) failed to find the effect; meta-analyses flagged publication bias. Current view: the simple “finite fuel” model is weak/unreliable; beliefs, fatigue, sleep, and context likely matter more. ✔️ Supported. UW FacultyStatistical Modeling

Hedonic adaptation (“treadmill”)

  • Claim. People often drift back toward a baseline after big ups/downs. ✔️ Classic studies support substantial adaptation (not 100% for all outcomes). Esquire Deposition Solutions

Self-esteem “movement” in the 80s–90s

  • Claim. There was a strong policy push (California Task Force) and later mixed evidence on broad benefits of boosting self-esteem. ✔️ True (Task Force records & critical reviews). ERICPubMed

“LLMs are very good at fact-checking”

  • Reality. LLMs can draft helpful first-pass checks, but they hallucinate facts and fabricate citations; human verification is essential. ✔️ Keep this caveated. ResearchGateGoodreads


Bottom line

  • Your habenula discussion is broadly right (with spelling + nuance fixes).

  • Ego depletion was misdescribed and is not reliably supported by modern replications.

  • Socrates/printing-press analogies check out.

  • Growth mindset summary is fine; Iterative Mindset is a current theoretical approach (evidence still emerging).

  • Treat LLM fact checks as drafts—verify links (as you noticed!).


Sources & links (for deeper digging)

Habenula (anatomy & function)

  • Bianco & Wilson. The habenular nuclei: a conserved asymmetric relay… Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B (2009). PMC

  • Baker et al. Lateral Habenula Beyond Avoidance… Frontiers in Systems Neuroscience (2022). Frontiers

  • Hones et al. Response Flexibility: The Role of the LHb, Frontiers in Behavioral Neuroscience (2022). Frontiers

  • Fortin et al. The habenula in mood disorders (systematic review), Mol Psychiatry (2025). Nature

Ego/“willpower” depletion

  • Baumeister et al. Ego Depletion… JPSP (1998).

  • Hagger et al. Registered Replication Report: Ego Depletion, Perspectives on Psychological Science (2016). UW Faculty

  • Carter et al. A bias-corrected meta-analysis of ego depletion studies (2015). Statistical Modeling

Socrates on writing

Novel-reading panic / print moral panics

Growth mindset

  • Mueller & Dweck. Praise for Intelligence Can Undermine Children’s Motivation… JPSP (1998). Nature

Hedonic adaptation

Self-esteem movement

  • Toward a State of Esteem (California Task Force Final Report, 1990). ERIC

  • Baumeister et al. Does High Self-Esteem Cause Better Performance… PSPI (2003). files.clps.brown.edu

Iterative Mindset & habenula (Bobinet)

  • Bobinet & Greer. The Iterative Mindset Method, npj Digital Medicine (2023). PMC

  • TEDx talk: The Science of Becoming Unstoppable. (Popular talk; for the habenula framing). Nature

LLM hallucinations (why to double-check links)

  • Nature News Explainer: What are AI hallucinations? (2023). ResearchGate

  • NYT: The Lawyer Who Used ChatGPT and Cited Fake Cases (2023). Goodreads

 

Monday, August 25, 2025

Fact Checking Ep 46 Divine Council with Mike

The following is a fact check by ChatGPT 5 of Jimbo Radio episode "Ep 46 Divine Council with Mike." Here is a transcript of the episode. 

Quick verdicts

  • Two creation accounts in Genesis (and the “older one comes second”) — basically right. Gen 1:1–2:4a (Priestly, generally dated later) is followed by a different creation story in Gen 2:4b–3 (often dated earlier), then redacted together, so an older tradition likely does appear after a later one. Bible Odyssey

  • “Let us make humankind…” (Gen 1:26) ≠ the Trinity in the original context — mainstream view. In the Hebrew Bible, the plural is best read as God addressing a divine/heavenly council (or a “plural of exhortation”), not a fourth-century Trinitarian formula. Gen 1:27 then reverts to singular verbs (“God created”), underscoring God’s primacy. TheTorah.com

  • Divine council scenes are real features of the Hebrew Bible — correct. Besides Gen 1:26/3:22; 11:7, see 1 Kgs 22:19–22; Job 1–2; Ps 82; Ps 89:5–7. Psalm 82 explicitly pictures God judging elohim “in the council of El.” Many scholars read these elohim as heavenly beings, though some traditions take them as human judges. Bible Odyssey

  • Deut 32:8–9 and the Dead Sea Scrolls — you stated the key point correctly, but pushed one inference too far. The oldest witnesses (Dead Sea Scrolls and the Greek Septuagint) read “he fixed the boundaries of the peoples according to the number of the sons of God,” with v.9 “YHWH’s portion is his people” (contrasting the later Masoretic “sons of Israel”). That supports an older “divine council/territorial deities” worldview. It does not require Elyon to be a god “over” YHWH telling him what to do; many scholars see Elyon identified with YHWH in Israel’s developing monotheism. The Gospel Coalition

  • “Angels can’t be insubordinate,” therefore Gen 6 “sons of God” can’t be angels — false. The NT itself refers to rebellious angels (e.g., Jude 6; 2 Pet 2:4). A widespread Second Temple reading (e.g., 1 Enoch) connects Gen 6’s “sons of God” to fallen angels/Watchers who cohabit with women and beget the Nephilim. This doesn’t “contradict” Matt 22:30, which says angels in heaven do not marry; it doesn’t address rebellious angels acting outside their proper domain. Bible Gateway+1Bible Odyssey

  • “Angels aren’t physical, only ‘essences’ ” — over-stated. In the HB, heavenly messengers routinely appear in embodied ways (e.g., Gen 18–19 where the visitors eat with Abraham); whatever their ultimate nature, the texts present tangible encounters. Bible Gateway

  • “Ancient Israelites were polytheists/monolatrous” — needs nuance but directionally fine. Many scholars describe early Israel as practicing monolatry/henotheism (exclusive worship of YHWH while acknowledging other divine beings), with strict monotheism consolidating later. That squares with inscriptions and texts from Israel/Judah and broader ANE parallels. Acts Network

  • “Trinity didn’t exist until centuries after Jesus” — accurate as a historical claim. The doctrine was formally articulated in the 4th century (Nicaea 325; Constantinople 381); reading it back into Gen 1 is anachronistic. (Background embedded in the “divine council” scholarship above.) TheTorah.com

  • Church finance/salaries: it’s fair to critique practices, but a couple specifics were too sweeping:

    • U.S. churches are not required to file the public IRS Form 990, which makes transparency uneven, but many voluntarily publish reports. Saying “90% won’t be audited or transparent” is an assertion, not a documented statistic. Simulation Argument

  • “Young people’s religiosity is now going back up” — not supported by the best current data. Large-sample U.S. surveys (Pew, 2025) show Christian identification declining overall with possible leveling, not a clear rebound among Gen Z. Media pieces talk about small “stirrings,” but the broad trend has not reversed. Encyclopedia Britannica+1

  • Simulation hypothesis bits (“binary code in the laws of physics”) — over-sold. Bostrom’s simulation argument is a philosophical probability puzzle, not empirical evidence; popular claims that physics has “computer code” baked in are speculative and contested, not consensus science. RedditTheTorah.com

A few precise fixes you can make in-episode notes/transcript

  • It’s “divine council,” not counsel (the transcript alternates both).

  • Nag Hammadi (not “Nagamati”): discovered in 1945 near the Egyptian town of Nag Hammadi; codices date mainly to the 4th century CE.

  • The Hebrew term you were reaching for is bᵉnê ʾĕlōhîm (“sons of God”), not “Nahilohim.” (Related forms like bᵉnê ʾēlîm occur too; in several places these denote heavenly beings.) Bible Odyssey

What you got especially right (and nicely framed)

  • Treating Gen 1:26 as divine-council language and noting the singular verbs of 1:27. TheTorah.com

  • Seeing Ps 82 as a council/judgment scene (while acknowledging the alternative “human judges” reading). Bible Odyssey

  • Recognizing Deut 32:8–9 textual history (DSS/LXX vs MT). The Gospel Coalition

If you want, I can mark up the transcript line-by-line with suggested wording tweaks and embedded citations you can drop into show notes.