Thursday, October 31, 2024

Essays to Read

This will be a running list of mine. Here are the first essays on my hit list. The order will be as I add and read them.

I occasionally hear or see references to influential essays, and, of course, I always say I'm going to read those later. But, of course, I rarely do and more likely forgive about the essay altogether.

For now on, I will stop and update my list here. Hopefully, this list will remind and motivate me to read the essays. I'll make some type of response for each essay. Links in the To Read section will be for the essay's text. Links in the Read and Recommend or Do Not Recommend will be to my blog post review.

To Read

"The Use of Knowledge in Society" by Friedrich A. Hayek
"Essays on Bentham and Coleridge" by John Stuart Mill
"Civilization" by John Stuart Mill

Read and Recommend

"WHY THE ARTS ARE NOT PROGRESSIVE" by William Hazlitt

Read and Do Not Recommend

Why the Arts Are Not Progressive (Essay Review)

Here is my first essay review for the essay "WHY THE ARTS ARE NOT PROGRESSIVE" by William Hazlitt.

Overall I agree with the main idea. Art, unlike other scientific and technological areas, do not progress with time. 

I'm not sure I accept the supporting claims and ideas that Hazlitt uses to defend his main idea.

Specifically, he suggests that geniuses create new art forms and that determine the peak of the art. Hazlitt uses examples of art that I'm not qualified to comment on. I don't know anything about sculpture or painting. I know literature well for a high school English teacher, but I don't know Shakespeare that well. I started a lecture series on Shakespeare by Harold Bloom last night. My daughter and I have been reading the Shakespeare Can Be Fun series by Lois Burdett. It is a lot of fun. The three book we have are all written in rhyming verses. So I'm not finished learning Shakespeare yet.

Bloom makes some very strong claims about Shakespeare. It's difficult to judge these claims because Shakespeare takes a lot of work to read and understand. This barrier of entry to Shakespeare makes me suspicious of Bloom and thus the same applies to Hazlitt.

I see the barrier to Shakespeare, and potentially other art forms that require a significant amount of front loading, as a possible brainwashing phase.

As I mentioned, I'm not very well read in Shakespeare. I took a lower level college literature course on Shakespeare's later work. I really liked the class and learned a lot. Then I taught Romeo and Juliet and Hamlet as an English teacher. That's about it. I don't see Shakespeare as the GOAT. I never read Shakespeare on my own until I started with Burdett's series.

I know I don't have the background to fully engage in Shakespeare without a structured course and or guide. But then I wonder how much that structure and guidance is reinforcing the greatness claim.

Is Shakespeare truly the greatest, or is the idea contagious. The more you try to understand why Shakespeare is the greatest the more likely you'll believe he is the greatest.

Don't get me wrong. Even I can see Shakespeare is great. His use of language alone proves his greatness. His productivity supports it. His range of writing speaks for itself: poems to comedies to tragedies. But the greatest? I don't know. How much time do I have to spend before I can tell? How much time do I have to spend before I get brainwashed?

I recommend the essay.

Tuesday, October 29, 2024

Once a Runner by John L. Parker, Jr.

This is my fourth review in The Running Fiction Challenge.

Review

Weeks ago I read 20-30 pages of the novel. I thought I was interested in continuing to read it. But, here I am, weeks later, and I maybe read a handful pages since then. 

The story is about a college runner. The first chapters are the start of a new season and school year. 

The opening descriptions and writing really turned me off.

The first run the team goes on in the story makes up for the opening. The dynamics of the runners are fun. The competition and masculinity capture the time and place of the novel.

Overall, the story and characters aren't engaging enough.

Unfortunately, for Once a Runner, I started listening to Elena Ferrante's My Brilliant Friend. This didn't help, and most likely hurt Once a Runner.

If I spend more time in the story, I'll update my review.

Join the challenge below.

Most Popular Running Fiction Challenge

The following books are the most rated running fiction on goodreads.com, as of 6 July 2024. Goodreads readers can vote here for the best running fiction. The books are in order by total ratings. I've added more specific genres and brief spoiler free descriptions of each novel.

  1. *Forrest Gump by Winston Groom - historical running fiction. The novel isn't specifically focused on running throughout, but many chapters feature Forrest's physical running as important aspects of the narrative. (68,999 ratings)

  2. The Running Dream by Wendelin Van Draanen - young adult running fiction. The story chronicles a high school 400m runner's physical and emotional journey of recovery and how running remains a central part of her life. (30,771 ratings)

  3. Once a Runner by John L. Parker Jr. - running fiction. The novel is regarded as one of the most iconic novels about running. Its entire narrative is centered around the sport, both literally and metaphorically. Centering around the life of a competitive runner who vividly captures the intensity of training, the experience of racing, and the subculture of competitive running. (15,114 ratings)

  4. Running the Rift by Naomi Benaron - historical running fiction. A novel that centers around running, both as a literal sport and as a metaphor for survival, identity, and hope. The novel is set in Rwanda during the years leading up to and during the Rwandan Genocide of 1994. (7,104 ratings)

  5. The Loneliness of the Long-Distance Runner by Alan Sillitoe - running fiction. Once again, running is a central role, both literally and metaphorically. The story explores themes of personal rebellion, social class, and individuality, with running serving as a powerful symbol for the protagonist’s inner life and resistance against societal expectations. (6,686 ratings)

* Novel might be demoted due to not being enough about running 

Honorable Ineligible Mentions

  • What I Talk About When I Talk About Running by novelist Haruki Murakami - memoir, not fiction. (171,386) 
  • The Running Man by Stephen King - dystopian fiction. There is a lot of running and some overlap between running qualities like endurance and stamina, but the sport or recreational activity of running is absent. The Running Man is really about survival, society, and oppression. (137, 820 ratings)
  • The End of the World Running Club by Adrian J. Walker - dystopian fiction. Running plays a minor role both literally, but a larger key element of the story’s structure and themes metaphorically. And running makes for a good title, but it is not a "running novel" in the sense of being about the sport or activity of running. (14,848 ratings)

My Reviews

I'll be review each of the novels here on my blog. I'd love any and all feedback. Leave a comment. Here are reviews I've done so far:

Monday, October 28, 2024

Life Without Anything But Life

From Elena Ferrante’s 2012 novel The Story of a New Name, English translation by Ann Goldstein. This is the second novel in the Neapolitan Novels. See my review of the first novel here.

“Have you ever been to the theater?”

“A few times.”

“Did you like it?”

“It was all right.”

“I’ve never been, but I’ve seen it on television.”

“It’s not the same thing.”

“I know, but better than nothing.”

And at that point she took out of her bag the book I had given her, the volume of Beckett’s plays, and showed it to him.

“Have you read this?”

Nino took the book, examined it, admitted uneasily, “No.”

“So there is something you haven’t read.”

“Yes.”

“You should read it.”

Lila began to talk to us about the book. To my surprise she was very deliberate, she talked the way she used to, choosing the words so as to make us see people and things, and also the emotion she gave them, portraying them anew keeping them there, present, alive. She said that we didn’t have to wait for nuclear war, in the book it was as if it had already happened. She told us at length about a woman named Winnie who at a certain point announced, another happy day, and she herself declaimed the phrase, becoming so upset that, in uttering it, her voice trembled slightly: another happy day, words that were insupportable, because nothing, nothing, she explained, in Winnie’s life, nothing in her gestures, nothing in her head, was happy, not that day or the preceding days. But, she added, the biggest impression had been made on her by a Dan Rooney. Dan Rooney, she said, is blind but he’s not bitter about it, because he believes that life is better without sight, and in fact he wonders whether, if one became deaf and mute, life would not be still more life, life without anything but life.

“Why did you like it?” Nino asked.

“I don’t know yet if I liked it.”

“But it made you curious.”

“It made me think. What does it mean that life is more life without sight, without hearing, even without words?”

“Maybe it’s just a gimmick.”

“No, what gimmick. There’s a thing here that suggests a thousand others, it’s not a gimmick.”

 

I loved this scene. 

There is so much to say here. The idea about life being more life with less senses is very interesting by itself, let alone how it relates to the characters in the story.

Samuel Beckett is a powerful allusion. I'll admit I've never read or watched any of Beckett, but I'm interested now because of Ferrante.

The dialogue is direct and focuses on the point. It allows the main ideas to stand out. It allows a curious and or well read reader to explore the connections being made with Beckett.

The book, a metaphor, becomes a desired object. Ironically, the book was originally given because it wasn't desired. The undesirable becomes desired. So many layers and connections here.

In Happy Days (the play refereed to in the scene above), the character Winnie is unhappy and struggling to keep up positive perspective. In the play, Winnie is buried in sand.

The characters in the scene above are on the beach. They've been spending their summer on the beach. Who is getting buried in the sand? Who is struggling to hide their unhappiness? Who might learn that life is more life with less senses?

Thursday, October 24, 2024

Books which have influenced me most

I was searching MR for biographies and or nonfiction books on Shakespeare, I found this post. I'll follow my gut too.

These are not my favorite or the best books I've read although four of the books are among my all time favorite books. 

These are in order of when I read them. You can see which ones have had more influence by the fact that I've written about them on my blog.

  1. It's Not About the Bike- one of the first books I read. I reread multiple times, even in 2024 more here and here. it gave me a false belief about the world that had a big influence on me.
  2. Jarhead : A Marine's Chronicle of the Gulf War and Other Battle- helped me overcome some of my young and dumb masculinity.
  3. Into the Wild- huge impact on me. I wanted to be like McCandless. I say a lot more here as to why I did and do love this book.
  4. Tuesday with Morrie- huge impact on me wanting to be a good and better person. Love for all. I wrote more about it here and here too.
  5. Siddhartha- I've this book every year, since I first read it. Huge influence. Why I reread over and over here. A sample of how much I read, think, and write about Siddhartha is here.
  6. War and Peace- proved I had the ability to read and understand real books. Read more here.
  7. Gilgamesh- Timeless story that really captures what people like to call human nature.
  8. The Man Who Wasn't There: Investigations into the Strange New Science of the Self- gave a broader understanding of the human mind.
  9. - got me very interested in economics.
  10. Big Business- along with economics, makes a strong argument for big business. Really changed the way I see and blame problems on businesses.

Sunday, October 20, 2024

I Was Wrong (Baseball Cards)

In a previous post, I made a claim about baseball cards, read here. 

Over the last few weeks, I saw graphs like the following below, 

I saw the flat lines and then the spikes around the pandemic, and I assumed these cards weren't worthy investments, maybe even not keeping up with inflation. Of course, the starting point matters. As we will see below.

Comparison

For my initial comparison. I used the data available to me from PSA's website. The site tracks and posts sales of their graded cards. 

I used Rickey Henderson, 1980 Topps #482, PSA 7 graded cards. I plotted all the sales data from PSA. I inserted all the S&P 500 weekly stock prices from Google Finance, and I downloaded the monthly inflation data from Federal Reserve Economic Data

Then I created a new table and chart, see below or click here.

This shocked me!

Nominalized Values from May 2013 to October 2024

*Nominalized means to convert. 

I converted all the initial vales to $100 to get the easiest visual comparison. If one purchased $100 worth of S&P 500, US Dollars, and Rickey Henderson rookie cards in May 2013, the baseball cards would be the best investment as of October 2024.

Since May of 2013, Rickey Henderson's rookie card has out perform the S&P 500!

This is the opposite of what I expected. I don't have the data set provided in the first graph above, so I wasn't able to compare back to 2005. When I do, it's going to look different. 

Nominalized Values from Jan 2020 to October 2024

I followed the same process as above. The Rickey Henderson 1980 Topps 482 does less well when comparing starting in Jan 2020. But, still, it does well. Far better than I would have guessed. 


For most of 1980 Topps 482's existence, it would have been a phenominal investment. It's hard to say what will happen going forward, see prediction below.

Next 

I want to compare two more rare, valuable cards like Mickey Mantle, 1951 Bowman #253, and Reggie Jackson, 1969 Topps #260. I also want to compare an extremely common card from the peak of overproduction, Ken Griffey Jr., 1989 Upper Deck #1.

Coming soon.

More Predictions

My last prediction was terrible. I think this one will be close. I already know that Griffey Jr's rookie card (RC) is less valuable than when I collected in the 1990s. Grading was just getting started as I stopped collection, so grading might tell a slightly different story.

Similar to my previous post's prediction, Mickey Mantle's RC should increase its value the most over time, being the best investment of the four cards mentioned above. The Reggie Jackson RC should be the second best investment, due to its relative scarcity, and Rickey Henderson's rookie card should be third of the four cards. Fourth, Ken Griffey Jr.’s RC, due to its abundances, should be competing with inflation as a bad investment for collectors.

Collectors today didn't grow up watching Mickey Mantle play, so he doesn't have the bias that many collectors have with Jackson, Henderson, and Griffey. Collectors in their 50-70s are going to remember watching and owning Jackson's cards when Jackson played baseball. Collectors in their 40-60s will remember watching and owning Henderson. Collects 30s and older are most likely going to have collected Griffey.

I'll still keep my previous concern. As collector get older and die, I'm not sure younger collectors will be filling their shoes with demands for the 1980s baseball cards. The scarcity and legacy of the 1950-60s cards should keep the demand high for the collectors coming of age. But the 1980s? I don't know. There are a lot of those cards...

Thursday, October 17, 2024

Topps 1980 #482

My Background

My family recently moved and we got a nice profit on the sale of our house. A close friend strongly encouraged me to spend a couple thousand and splurge on myself. Splurging to me sounds wasteful, so I was very reluctant. I considered buying a new bicycle, but I like my current one. My cousin has a frig in her garage that is covered in baseball cards. I've been wanting to do something similar. A couple weeks ago, I went online to buy a bunch of cheap baseball cards to make something artistic or fun. I thought it might be cool to use all Rickey Henderson rookie cards. This is a card I almost bought a couple times, but never did. Rickey Henderson was my favorite baseball player as a kid. I probably have 100s of his cards, hopefully, in my bedroom at my parents house. I look forward to retrieving them on my next trip home. To my surprise, Rickey Henderson's rookie card is expensive!

Introduction

Rickey Henerdson's rookie card, 1980 Topps #482, is the most valuable baseball card of the 1980s.  On August 24th, 2024, a gem mint PSA 10, the highest graded rating from PSA, sold for $180,000 at a Heritage Auction.

The 1980s mark the shift in mass producing baseball cards. In 1980, Topps was the only major card company that produced a set of baseball cards (there are some smaller obscure sets from 1980). In 1981, Fleer and Donruss joined Topps in the baseball card market. By 1989, there were six major brands of baseball cards: Topps, Fleer, Donruss, Score, Upper Deck, and Bowman. Topps has not released official numbers of printed cards from the 1980s, but several sources online suggest the 1980 prints were in the millions. Estimates for the 1989 cohorts put each company printing in the 2-5 million range. The late 1980s and early 1990s marked the peak years of overproduction. If you grew up in the early 1990s, you'll remember how many more cards shops there were. You'll remember sports cards were everywhere. Grocery stores were some of the best places to buy cards. People were opening businesses so they could buy cards whole sale and by the boxes. It was a wild time.

Let's compare Ken Griffey Jr. (KGJ), peak overproduction, with Rickey Henderson (RH), beginning of mass production. 

KGJ's, a rookie in 1989, represents the opposite of RH, a rookie in 1980. The KGJ has six RCs, one from each card brand. RH has 1, Topps #482. 1989 was the first year of Upper Deck. KGJ, the number draft pick, was giving the first card, #1, of the set. Upper Deck printed less cards than the other brands and was considered a more premium card company. KGJ 1989 Upper Deck #1 (RC) is another one of the most popular and valuable cards of the 1980s. Considering KGJ has 6 different RCs, there are over ten times more KGJ RCs between 15-25 million prints, than RH RC, 1-2 million prints.

KGJ has a lot more supply. There is another key difference: time. 

PSA is the top grading company. Results of PSA sales show that KGJ is more popular (more demand) than RH, but due to the difference in supply, RH's cards are a lot more valuable than KGJ. See Mickey Mantle below for an even more extreme comparison. The links have more data.

RH's RC, 1980 Topps #482, has 25 gem mint PSA 10 graded cards out of 38,810 cards graded by PSA

 

KGJ's best RC, 1989 Upper Deck #1, has 4,179 gem mint PSA 10 grading out of 110, 584 graded cards by PSA.

Let's compare with one of the most iconic baseball card, Mickey Mantle's (MM) RC, 1951 Bowan #253, has 1 gem mint PSA 10 grading, and 9 mint PSA 9 grading, out of 2,5778 total grades. A mint PSA 9 sold for over $3,000,000 in 2022. 

 

One more to bridge the gap between MM and RH. Reggie Jackson's (RJ) RC, 1969 Topps #260, also has 1 gem mint PSA 10 graded card, with 42 mint PSA 9 grades. There are a total of 11,552 cards graded by PSA. The RJ RC sold for over $1,000,000 in 2021.

All four of these players are popular all time great hall of fame outfielders.

Click imagine to enlarge

More to Come

I got a friend, who is a data scientist, who seems to be interested enough to help me. We're going to start by investigate RH's 1980 Topps #482.

I suspect RH RC is a bad long term investment. I'm around middle age and have disposable income to spend on expensive piece of cardboard. I think I'm a perfect example of a growing demand for RH RCs and sports cards from the 80s and 90s in general. As my collecting peers grow old and die, will there be enough young collectors coming up to keep the demand for these baseball cards? I think for Mantle yes. RH maybe. KGJ no way.

My initial feeling is that baseball cards, trading cards and collectibles in general, are "too" volatile to seriously consider as investments. People should only spend disposable income and the activity of buying/collecting should be largely entertainment. Trading, short term buying and selling, is probably the most profitable activity in sports cards.

I suspect cards might not even keep up with inflation (I'm sure there is research already on this). I'm curious how RH RC performs compared with stocks, other investments, and art.

I'm curious to explore when or at what price do most of the know cards come out and get graded and or sold? I don't expect many, if any, new gem mint Mantle RCs to pop up. KGJ on the other hand could have 100s-1000s still hiding. And Henderson? I suspect the RH card is more like the Mantle card than the KGJ card. There must be 1000s of RH RCs in basements, attics, and garages, but how many are in mint or gem mint condition? How many collectors are sitting on gem mints waiting for the right price to grade and sell theirs?

I want to see how basic economics principles predict and explain Rickey Henderson's RC over time. I'm going to make a prediction at the end for 1, 5, and 20 years in the future. It'll be interesting to see how I do.